Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.105214 0.113206 0.121493 0.130731 0.140747 0.151284 0.163216
2024-10-06 0.089217 0.100457 0.112701 0.127051 0.143436 0.161593 0.183279
2024-10-13 0.080241 0.093129 0.107640 0.125231 0.146034 0.169920 0.199522
2024-10-20 0.074617 0.088782 0.105171 0.125599 0.150476 0.179902 0.217521
2024-10-27 0.068678 0.083449 0.100935 0.123257 0.151126 0.184945 0.229353
2024-11-03 0.064595 0.079980 0.098575 0.122825 0.153796 0.192265 0.244035
2024-11-10 0.063103 0.079538 0.099793 0.126754 0.161941 0.206632 0.268213
2024-11-17 0.059651 0.076369 0.097331 0.125740 0.163532 0.212491 0.281389
2024-11-24 0.056601 0.073521 0.095079 0.124787 0.165022 0.218124 0.294348
2024-12-01 0.053194 0.070013 0.091756 0.122183 0.164073 0.220313 0.302535
2024-12-08 0.051932 0.069273 0.092026 0.124369 0.169650 0.231518 0.323690
2024-12-15 0.049261 0.066492 0.089399 0.122414 0.169333 0.234448 0.333109
2024-12-22 0.046917 0.064121 0.087309 0.121222 0.170185 0.239272 0.345851
2024-12-29 0.043998 0.060831 0.083812 0.117886 0.167812 0.239366 0.351633
2025-01-05 0.041851 0.058521 0.081569 0.116205 0.167700 0.242648 0.362232
2025-01-12 0.040495 0.057273 0.080763 0.116544 0.170531 0.250338 0.379861
2025-01-19 0.038483 0.054984 0.078354 0.114387 0.169481 0.252085 0.388238
2025-01-26 0.037119 0.053584 0.077170 0.113989 0.171048 0.257833 0.403150
2025-02-02 0.036971 0.053965 0.078614 0.117608 0.178928 0.273660 0.435039
2025-02-09 0.035592 0.052444 0.077147 0.116674 0.179616 0.278162 0.448543
2025-02-16 0.034310 0.051019 0.075763 0.115797 0.180326 0.282684 0.462237
2025-02-23 0.032714 0.049054 0.073478 0.113397 0.178466 0.282927 0.468633
2025-03-02 0.032299 0.048892 0.073962 0.115411 0.183842 0.295223 0.496291